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[title] => Stručnjak za međunarodne odnose analizira ponašanje Rusije prema Hrvatskoj: ‘Znaju koliko ovisimo o turizmu pa nas žele zastrašiti jer su puno ulagali u njega‘
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U tjednu koji je na izmaku, Hrvatska je od Rusije dobila dva “poklona”.
Prvi je bio pismo Ministarstva vanjskih poslova Rusije (čitaj: Sergej Lavrov), kojim se Hrvatska blago opominje kako bi bilo dobro da se vratimo starim, dobrim vanjskopolitičkim odnosima s Rusijom, koji su građeni u proteklih 30 godina. Drugi poklon je protjerivanje šestero diplomata/zaposlenika hrvatskog veleposlanstva u Moskvi, što je očit odgovor na protjerivanje 18 diplomata/zaposlenika ruskog veleposlanstva u Zagrebu, koje se zbilo 11. travnja ove godine.
Za komentar tih zbivanja upitali smo dr. Branimira Vidmarovića, stručnjaka za međunarodne odnose.
- Oni su nama recipročno uzvratili tim protjerivanjem. Mislim da sada u ruskom veleposlanstvu u Zagrebu ima samo troje diplomata, tako da Rusi smatraju kako vjerojatno ni u hrvatskom veleposlanstvu u Moskvi ne treba biti više hrvatskih diplomata/zaposlenika. To je bilo očekivano - smatra Vidmarović.
Za pismo upućeno iz Moskve drži da mu je cilj zaplašiti Hrvatsku, odnosno velik broj hrvatskih tvrtki i uglednih pojedinaca koji imaju ekonomske interese u Rusiji ili koji su poslom vezani uz Rusiju.
- Znate da u Republici Hrvatskoj ima puno ruskog kapitala, pogotovo u turizmu, pa nas vrlo vjerojatno žele i zastrašiti jer znaju koliko ovisimo o turizmu - objašnjava naš sugovornik, podsjećajući kako Rusi prijete svima, odnosno kako su slične prijetnje bile upućene i drugim europskim i svjetskim državama.
Nekoliko riječi nam je naš sugovornik rekao i o trenutačnom stanju u Ukrajini, kao i o onome što se može očekivati.
- Mislim da je Rusima sada u interesu zatvaranje džepova u Donbasu te da do zime ili listopada/studenog završe ovu fazu rata u Donbasu i Luhanskoj oblasti. Oni napreduju iz dana dan, uzimaju kilometar po kilometar ukrajinske zemlje, stoga me ne bi iznenadilo kada bi dolaskom hladnijeg vremena svoje vojne operacije premjestili na jug Ukrajine, na Odesu - tvrdi Vidmarović.
Odesa, dakle.
- Ako je Rusiji cilj u potpunosti onemogućiti izlazak Ukrajine na more, tada bi Odesa mogla biti treća faza rata. Međutim, ne znam kako bi u tom trenutku reagirala Turska, jer Turskoj nije u interesu da Rusija ima toliki utjecaj na Crnome moru, odnosno da Rusija dominira Crnim morem. Njima je u interesu da i Ukrajina bude na Crnom moru - navodi Vidmarović.
Za kraj nas je zanimalo što misli o tome do kada bi rat u Ukrajini mogao potrajati, budući da se bliži stoti dan rata. Njegovim produljivanjem Europu i ostatak svijeta ne čeka ništa dobro, pogotovo u zimskim mjesecima.
- Rat će trajati dok Rusi ne odluče da je rat gotov, jer oni nemaju namjeru stati - zaključuje Branimir Vidmarović.
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AFPRijetke su europske zemlje s kojima se Vladimir Putin nije obračunao
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U tjednu koji je na izmaku, Hrvatska je od Rusije dobila dva “poklona”.
Prvi je bio pismo Ministarstva vanjskih poslova Rusije (čitaj: Sergej Lavrov), kojim se Hrvatska blago opominje kako bi bilo dobro da se vratimo starim, dobrim vanjskopolitičkim odnosima s Rusijom, koji su građeni u proteklih 30 godina. Drugi poklon je protjerivanje šestero diplomata/zaposlenika hrvatskog veleposlanstva u Moskvi, što je očit odgovor na protjerivanje 18 diplomata/zaposlenika ruskog veleposlanstva u Zagrebu, koje se zbilo 11. travnja ove godine.
Za komentar tih zbivanja upitali smo dr. Branimira Vidmarovića, stručnjaka za međunarodne odnose.
- Oni su nama recipročno uzvratili tim protjerivanjem. Mislim da sada u ruskom veleposlanstvu u Zagrebu ima samo troje diplomata, tako da Rusi smatraju kako vjerojatno ni u hrvatskom veleposlanstvu u Moskvi ne treba biti više hrvatskih diplomata/zaposlenika. To je bilo očekivano - smatra Vidmarović.
Za pismo upućeno iz Moskve drži da mu je cilj zaplašiti Hrvatsku, odnosno velik broj hrvatskih tvrtki i uglednih pojedinaca koji imaju ekonomske interese u Rusiji ili koji su poslom vezani uz Rusiju.
- Znate da u Republici Hrvatskoj ima puno ruskog kapitala, pogotovo u turizmu, pa nas vrlo vjerojatno žele i zastrašiti jer znaju koliko ovisimo o turizmu - objašnjava naš sugovornik, podsjećajući kako Rusi prijete svima, odnosno kako su slične prijetnje bile upućene i drugim europskim i svjetskim državama.
Nekoliko riječi nam je naš sugovornik rekao i o trenutačnom stanju u Ukrajini, kao i o onome što se može očekivati.
- Mislim da je Rusima sada u interesu zatvaranje džepova u Donbasu te da do zime ili listopada/studenog završe ovu fazu rata u Donbasu i Luhanskoj oblasti. Oni napreduju iz dana dan, uzimaju kilometar po kilometar ukrajinske zemlje, stoga me ne bi iznenadilo kada bi dolaskom hladnijeg vremena svoje vojne operacije premjestili na jug Ukrajine, na Odesu - tvrdi Vidmarović.
Odesa, dakle.
- Ako je Rusiji cilj u potpunosti onemogućiti izlazak Ukrajine na more, tada bi Odesa mogla biti treća faza rata. Međutim, ne znam kako bi u tom trenutku reagirala Turska, jer Turskoj nije u interesu da Rusija ima toliki utjecaj na Crnome moru, odnosno da Rusija dominira Crnim morem. Njima je u interesu da i Ukrajina bude na Crnom moru - navodi Vidmarović.
Za kraj nas je zanimalo što misli o tome do kada bi rat u Ukrajini mogao potrajati, budući da se bliži stoti dan rata. Njegovim produljivanjem Europu i ostatak svijeta ne čeka ništa dobro, pogotovo u zimskim mjesecima.
- Rat će trajati dok Rusi ne odluče da je rat gotov, jer oni nemaju namjeru stati - zaključuje Branimir Vidmarović.
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20. svibanj 2024 01:07
