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Na stotine vojnika paravojne skupine Wagner viđeno je kako odlazi iz Srednjoafričke Republike posljednjih dana. Gotovo paralelno s ovom viješću objavljene su i snimke na kojima je vidljivo kako je konvoj bivših Wagnerovih boraca iz Ukrajine i Ruske Federacije počeo odlaziti u Bjelorusiju. Sve to potaknulo je javna pitanja je li na djelu konačno komadanje ove plaćeničke nakaze koju je Putin svojedobno sam stvorio te joj sada odlučio odsjeći glavu nakon njezine nedavne pobune u Rusiji...
Više od 600 zaposlenika Wagnera primijećeno je prošli tjedan kako odlazi iz zračne luke u glavnom gradu Srednjoafričke Republike Banguiju, posvjedočili su iz nevladinih organizacija u toj afričkoj zemlji. Neki promatrači objavili su i videa koja pokazuju desetke Wagnerovih operativaca u uniformama okupljene u blizini helidroma. I lokalne regionalne novine na francuskom jeziku Jeune Afrique izvijestile su da stotine pripadnika Wagnera napuštaju zemlju. Još uvijek nije jasno je li masovni odlazak osoblja Wagnera iz Srednjoafričke Republike dio rutinske rotacije trupa ili demobilizacije naređene iz Moskve s ciljem smanjenja Prigožinova utjecaja.
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Možda su posrijedi bili i pripadnici Wagnera koji su do kraja odlučili biti lojalni Jevgeniju Prigožinu te su odbili raditi pod kapom ruskog Ministarstva obrane. Analitičari u više think tankova zagovaraju upravo ovakvu tezu. I oko preseljenja dijela Wagnerovih trupa u Bjelorusiju provlače se ista tumačenja.
“Više je nego izgledno da su posrijedi čistke, jer je lojalnost trenutno ključno pitanje za Putina”, smatra Alia Brahimi, viša suradnica u think tanku Atlantic Council. To se poklapa i s izjavama nekih dužnosnika Srednjoafričke Republike, poput savjetnika predsjednika Faustina-Archangea Touadére koji je kazao da posljednjih dana nije bilo nikakve promjene u prisutnosti Wagner grupe u ovoj zemlji. Ruski instruktori po njemu su tamo još uvijek na terenu, zajedno sa službenim predstavnikom Wagner grupe Vitalijem Perfiljevom. Službene institucije afričke zemlje Prigožinov pokušaj puča iz lipnja smatraju unutarnjom stvari Rusije i napominju da Srednjoafrička Republika ima sporazum o suradnji s Ruskom Federacijom, a ne s grupacijom Wagner.
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Wagnerovi plaćenici prvi su put stigli u Srednjoafričku Republiku još 2018. godine. Radili su zajedno s nacionalnim oružanim snagama kao vojni savjetnici u borbi protiv pobunjeničkih snaga koje su zaprijetile svrgavanjem vlade. Američka vlada i skupine za ljudska prava optužile su Wagner ubrzo za počinjenje brutalnih ratnih zločina u Africi i za eksploataciju tamošnjih rudnika zlata i dijamanata. Kasnije je Wagner u SAD-u proglašen i transnacionalnom zločinačkom organizacijom.
Kremlj će vjerojatno ubrzo promijeniti ime Wagner grupe i izbaciti iz njezine strukture istaknute osobe koje se smatraju previše bliskima Prigožinu, procjenjuje Colin Clarke, viši znanstveni suradnik u The Soufan Center, neprofitnoj istraživačkoj agenciji za pitanja globalne sigurnosti. No, američki eksperti ne misle da će se ruska plaćenička vojska nakon "rebrandinga" povući iz Wagnerovih unosnih ugovora, operacija dezinformiranja i rudarskih poslova koji su povećali utjecaj i prihode Moskvi u sjevernoj i subsaharskoj Africi. I ruski ministar vanjskih poslova Sergej Lavrov rekao je u nedavnom intervjuu za Russia Today da Prigožinova pobuna neće utjecati na odnose Moskve s "partnerima i prijateljima" diljem Afrike i svijeta.
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Premda se Wagner oficijelno naziva privatnom vojnom tvrtkom, on nikad nije bio zaštitarska agencija ili privatna vojna kompanija nalik na američki Blackwater ili slične moderne križare. Oni su od samoga početka državna kreacija ruske vojne obavještajne agencije, no titula privatne korporacije Moskvi je dosad služila da od njihovih zločina i tajnih poslova po svijetu formalno opere ruke. Prigožinov pad i reforma Wagnera sad će vjerojatno dovesti i do izravnijeg povezivanja njihovih postupaka sa samom ruskom državom.
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U ratu u Ukrajini Wagnerov plaćenički status dugo je jednako odgovarao i Putinu i brojnim Moskovljanima i građanima drugih urbanih središta: dok su oni živjeli svoje uobičajene mirnodopske živote bez ratne strepnje i mobilizacija, u "specijalnoj vojnoj operaciji" u susjedstvu krvarili su neki plaćeni dobrovoljci, mahom avanturisti ili bivši kriminalci. U nedostatku ratne tehnike tisuće su ih izginule u mašini za mljevenje mesa kakvu je predstavljala, primjerice, fronta u Bahmutu. Bili su i među rijetko efikasnima na bojištu, što postaje razvidno i iz zadnjih vijesti da su ruske snage u Bahmutu trenutno u ukrajinskome okruženju. Prigožin je svom gazdi dugo vremena bio iznimno koristan i efikasan u projekciji ruske moći u inozemstvu, a istodobno je Putinu osiguravao i umjereni javni politički profil, jer je svjedočio kako u Rusiji postoje i puno gore alternative. No, kad je nedavno postao službeni glasnogovornik nezadovoljstva bogatih ruskih elita, postao je šefu nekadašnji "Kuhar" znatno opasniji nego korisniji. Štoviše, postao je najveći direktni izazov njegovoj vlasti u više od zadnja dva desetljeća.
Status boraca Wagnera u ruskom društvu sada je naglašeno dvojan: jednima su još uvijek najuzorniji domoljubi, a režimu i njegovim pristašama su pobunjenici i izdajice, dok ne dokažu suprotno. Jevgenij Prigožin maršem na Moskvu, nota bene, nije postigao ništa od javno deklariranih ciljeva: nije natjerao Putina da ih više sluša niti smijenio ratno neučinkoviti vojni establišment, ali je zato nekoliko pilota i ruskih vojnika u međusobnim borbama na ruskom teritoriju nepotrebno izgubilo živote.
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Premda baš današnje vijesti govore da se ruski predsjednik prvi put nakon pobune u Moskvi jutros sastao s Prigožinom, sudbinu ovog nekadašnjeg predstavnika "Putinova vojnog plemstva" ne treba puno mistificirati: izdaja mu sigurno neće biti oproštena i pitanje je dana kad će Kremlj odabrati najpogodniji termin i način njegove eliminacije. Plaćenička vojska nastavit će većinski služiti pod nekim drugim imenom onome tko ih bude plaćao: lojalnost figurama i idejama isključena je već po definiciji njihova borbenog statusa.
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author=
title=Putin demontira Wagner grupu, plaćeničku nakazu koju je sam stvorio. Razgovori s bivšim šefom neće spasiti Prigožina
[metakey] => putin, jevgenij prigožin , Wagner grupa , Srednjoafrička republika
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Glave Himere grizu jedna drugu<\/p>","
prig prig<\/p>","
Russian President Vladimir Putin gives a speech during the Strong Ideas for a New Time forum in Moscow on June 29, 2023. The lettering reads \u201dPeople!\u201d. (Photo by Sergei SAVOSTYANOV\/SPUTNIK\/AFP)<\/p>","
Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a meeting with Algeria\u2018s President at the Kremlin in Moscow on June 15, 2023. (Photo by Mikhail Metzel\/SPUTNIK\/AFP)<\/p>","
Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks with participant of the military operation in Ukraine at the Vishnevsky Central Military Clinical Hospital as the part of celebration the Russia Day in Moscow on June 12, 2023. (Photo by Vladimir ASTAPKOVICH\/Sputnik\/AFP)<\/p>","
TOPSHOT - Members of Wagner group looks from a military vehicle in Rostov-on-Don late on June 24, 2023. Rebel mercenary leader Yevgeny Prigozhin who sent his fighters to topple the military leaders in Moscow will leave for Belarus and a criminal case against him will be dropped as part of a deal to avoid \u201dbloodshed,\u201d the Kremlin said on June 24. (Photo by Roman ROMOKHOV\/AFP)<\/p>","
\u00a0Prigo\u017einovo vrijeme je isteklo<\/p>","
Plakati za Wagner u Sankt Peterburgu<\/p>","
Wagner u Rostovu na Donu<\/p>","
Odlazak u povijest nakon prekida mar\u0161a na 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Na stotine vojnika paravojne skupine Wagner viđeno je kako odlazi iz Srednjoafričke Republike posljednjih dana. Gotovo paralelno s ovom viješću objavljene su i snimke na kojima je vidljivo kako je konvoj bivših Wagnerovih boraca iz Ukrajine i Ruske Federacije počeo odlaziti u Bjelorusiju. Sve to potaknulo je javna pitanja je li na djelu konačno komadanje ove plaćeničke nakaze koju je Putin svojedobno sam stvorio te joj sada odlučio odsjeći glavu nakon njezine nedavne pobune u Rusiji...
Više od 600 zaposlenika Wagnera primijećeno je prošli tjedan kako odlazi iz zračne luke u glavnom gradu Srednjoafričke Republike Banguiju, posvjedočili su iz nevladinih organizacija u toj afričkoj zemlji. Neki promatrači objavili su i videa koja pokazuju desetke Wagnerovih operativaca u uniformama okupljene u blizini helidroma. I lokalne regionalne novine na francuskom jeziku Jeune Afrique izvijestile su da stotine pripadnika Wagnera napuštaju zemlju. Još uvijek nije jasno je li masovni odlazak osoblja Wagnera iz Srednjoafričke Republike dio rutinske rotacije trupa ili demobilizacije naređene iz Moskve s ciljem smanjenja Prigožinova utjecaja.
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Možda su posrijedi bili i pripadnici Wagnera koji su do kraja odlučili biti lojalni Jevgeniju Prigožinu te su odbili raditi pod kapom ruskog Ministarstva obrane. Analitičari u više think tankova zagovaraju upravo ovakvu tezu. I oko preseljenja dijela Wagnerovih trupa u Bjelorusiju provlače se ista tumačenja.
“Više je nego izgledno da su posrijedi čistke, jer je lojalnost trenutno ključno pitanje za Putina”, smatra Alia Brahimi, viša suradnica u think tanku Atlantic Council. To se poklapa i s izjavama nekih dužnosnika Srednjoafričke Republike, poput savjetnika predsjednika Faustina-Archangea Touadére koji je kazao da posljednjih dana nije bilo nikakve promjene u prisutnosti Wagner grupe u ovoj zemlji. Ruski instruktori po njemu su tamo još uvijek na terenu, zajedno sa službenim predstavnikom Wagner grupe Vitalijem Perfiljevom. Službene institucije afričke zemlje Prigožinov pokušaj puča iz lipnja smatraju unutarnjom stvari Rusije i napominju da Srednjoafrička Republika ima sporazum o suradnji s Ruskom Federacijom, a ne s grupacijom Wagner.
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Wagnerovi plaćenici prvi su put stigli u Srednjoafričku Republiku još 2018. godine. Radili su zajedno s nacionalnim oružanim snagama kao vojni savjetnici u borbi protiv pobunjeničkih snaga koje su zaprijetile svrgavanjem vlade. Američka vlada i skupine za ljudska prava optužile su Wagner ubrzo za počinjenje brutalnih ratnih zločina u Africi i za eksploataciju tamošnjih rudnika zlata i dijamanata. Kasnije je Wagner u SAD-u proglašen i transnacionalnom zločinačkom organizacijom.
Kremlj će vjerojatno ubrzo promijeniti ime Wagner grupe i izbaciti iz njezine strukture istaknute osobe koje se smatraju previše bliskima Prigožinu, procjenjuje Colin Clarke, viši znanstveni suradnik u The Soufan Center, neprofitnoj istraživačkoj agenciji za pitanja globalne sigurnosti. No, američki eksperti ne misle da će se ruska plaćenička vojska nakon "rebrandinga" povući iz Wagnerovih unosnih ugovora, operacija dezinformiranja i rudarskih poslova koji su povećali utjecaj i prihode Moskvi u sjevernoj i subsaharskoj Africi. I ruski ministar vanjskih poslova Sergej Lavrov rekao je u nedavnom intervjuu za Russia Today da Prigožinova pobuna neće utjecati na odnose Moskve s "partnerima i prijateljima" diljem Afrike i svijeta.
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Premda se Wagner oficijelno naziva privatnom vojnom tvrtkom, on nikad nije bio zaštitarska agencija ili privatna vojna kompanija nalik na američki Blackwater ili slične moderne križare. Oni su od samoga početka državna kreacija ruske vojne obavještajne agencije, no titula privatne korporacije Moskvi je dosad služila da od njihovih zločina i tajnih poslova po svijetu formalno opere ruke. Prigožinov pad i reforma Wagnera sad će vjerojatno dovesti i do izravnijeg povezivanja njihovih postupaka sa samom ruskom državom.
---
---
U ratu u Ukrajini Wagnerov plaćenički status dugo je jednako odgovarao i Putinu i brojnim Moskovljanima i građanima drugih urbanih središta: dok su oni živjeli svoje uobičajene mirnodopske živote bez ratne strepnje i mobilizacija, u "specijalnoj vojnoj operaciji" u susjedstvu krvarili su neki plaćeni dobrovoljci, mahom avanturisti ili bivši kriminalci. U nedostatku ratne tehnike tisuće su ih izginule u mašini za mljevenje mesa kakvu je predstavljala, primjerice, fronta u Bahmutu. Bili su i među rijetko efikasnima na bojištu, što postaje razvidno i iz zadnjih vijesti da su ruske snage u Bahmutu trenutno u ukrajinskome okruženju. Prigožin je svom gazdi dugo vremena bio iznimno koristan i efikasan u projekciji ruske moći u inozemstvu, a istodobno je Putinu osiguravao i umjereni javni politički profil, jer je svjedočio kako u Rusiji postoje i puno gore alternative. No, kad je nedavno postao službeni glasnogovornik nezadovoljstva bogatih ruskih elita, postao je šefu nekadašnji "Kuhar" znatno opasniji nego korisniji. Štoviše, postao je najveći direktni izazov njegovoj vlasti u više od zadnja dva desetljeća.
Status boraca Wagnera u ruskom društvu sada je naglašeno dvojan: jednima su još uvijek najuzorniji domoljubi, a režimu i njegovim pristašama su pobunjenici i izdajice, dok ne dokažu suprotno. Jevgenij Prigožin maršem na Moskvu, nota bene, nije postigao ništa od javno deklariranih ciljeva: nije natjerao Putina da ih više sluša niti smijenio ratno neučinkoviti vojni establišment, ali je zato nekoliko pilota i ruskih vojnika u međusobnim borbama na ruskom teritoriju nepotrebno izgubilo živote.
---
---
Premda baš današnje vijesti govore da se ruski predsjednik prvi put nakon pobune u Moskvi jutros sastao s Prigožinom, sudbinu ovog nekadašnjeg predstavnika "Putinova vojnog plemstva" ne treba puno mistificirati: izdaja mu sigurno neće biti oproštena i pitanje je dana kad će Kremlj odabrati najpogodniji termin i način njegove eliminacije. Plaćenička vojska nastavit će većinski služiti pod nekim drugim imenom onome tko ih bude plaćao: lojalnost figurama i idejama isključena je već po definiciji njihova borbenog statusa.
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Sergei Savostyanov/Afp
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[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 32
[alias] => gallery_in_the_article
)
[31] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 95
[name] => Required views
[value] => 0
[type] => textfield
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 33
[alias] => required_views
)
[32] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 96
[name] => FullHD image
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 34
[alias] => fullhd_image
)
[33] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 97
[name] => City Select
[value] => (0)
[type] => select
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 35
[alias] => CitySelect
)
[34] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 98
[name] => Paid Article
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 36
[alias] => paid_article
)
[35] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 99
[name] => SD na licu mjesta
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 37
[alias] => SD_na_licu_mjesta
)
)
14. svibanj 2024 19:02
